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Charney, Fjörtoft and von Neumann: test numerical forecasts of large-scale weather

Contribution grade

Earth Science · Earth Science

Reference score220,000Provisional editorial estimate of this exact contribution; its grade is assessed separately.

What changed

Charney, Fjörtoft and von Neumann implement a limited-area barotropic-vorticity forecast on ENIAC, reporting four 24-hour experiments from observed 500-mb charts and analysing numerical, observational and model errors.

Scientific scope

Charney, Fjörtoft and von Neumann implement a limited-area barotropic-vorticity forecast on ENIAC, reporting four 24-hour experiments from observed 500-mb charts and analysing numerical, observational and model errors. The experiment uses a nondivergent, quasi-geostrophic barotropic model at a chosen atmospheric level. Boundary conditions, frozen linearization, differencing and observational inputs matter. The historical forecast cases and compute time are limited demonstrations, not held-out skill for a modern full-atmosphere model. Baroclinic dynamics and later numerical forecasting systems remain separate.

Evidence

Source-linked, scoped account of the original work. The published scope states the scientific assumptions and remaining verification limits. WRS has not independently certified the full proof, experimental result or system benchmark.

Contributors

Provisional WRS assessment, edition 2026-10-16.1. Independent expert calibration is pending. This grade does not certify correctness or assign ownership.

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