Early confidence-bearing transduction and rank-based credibility

What changed

Develops support-vector transductive predictions with confidence/possibility measures, followed by rank-based p-values and separate confidence/credibility in an improved transductive classifier.

Scientific scope

Develops support-vector transductive predictions with confidence/possibility measures, followed by rank-based p-values and separate confidence/credibility in an improved transductive classifier. The record combines the 1998 UAI and 1999 IJCAI lineage, rather than the entire later conformal-prediction theory. Exchangeability or independent sampling, per-label refitting and combinatorial multi-test costs remain important. Confidence is not a posterior probability that an answer is correct.

Evidence

The linked original sources describe the stated contribution and its evidence limits. WRS has not independently rerun the experiments or certified a proof. The record combines the 1998 UAI and 1999 IJCAI lineage, rather than the entire later conformal-prediction theory. Exchangeability or independent sampling, per-label refitting and combinatorial multi-test costs remain important. Confidence is not a posterior probability that an answer is correct.

Contributors

• Source-listed authors and technical contributors · SCIENCE: Source-listed authors or explicitly credited technical contributors for the cited versions. Family entries retain source-specific attribution; a combined list is not one original-paper byline or equal individual work. Names alone do not establish resolved identities.

• Learning by Transduction
• Transduction with Confidence and Credibility

Provisional WRS assessment, edition 2026-10-16.1. Independent expert calibration is pending. This grade does not certify correctness or assign ownership.

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